Probability Question 169

Question: For a biased die, the probabilities for different faces to turn up are
Face : 1 2 3 4 5 6
Probability : 0.2 0.22 0.11 0.25 0.05 0.17

The die is tossed and you are told that either face 4 or face 5 has turned up. The probability that it is face 4 is

Options:

A) $ \frac{1}{6} $

B) $ \frac{1}{4} $

C) $ \frac{5}{6} $

D) None of these

Show Answer

Answer:

Correct Answer: C

Solution:

Let $ A $ be the event that face 4 turns up and $ B $ be the event that face 5 turns up then $ P(A)=0.25, $

$ P(B)=0.05 $ .

Since $ A $ and $ B $ are mutually exclusive, so $ P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)=0.25+0.05=0.30 $ .

We have to find $ P( \frac{A}{A\cup B} ), $ which is equal to $ P\frac{[A\cap (A\cup B)]}{P(A\cup B)}=\frac{P(A)}{P(A\cup B)}=\frac{0.25}{0.30}=\frac{5}{6} $ .