Statistics And Probability Question 107

Question: A certain type of missile hits the target with probability p=0.3. What is the least number of missiles should be fired so that there is at least an 80% probability that the target is hit?

Options:

A) 5

B) 6

C) 7

D) None of the above

Show Answer

Answer:

Correct Answer: A

Solution:

  • [a] Probability of hitting the target = 0.3 If ?n? is the no. of times that the missile is fired.
    $ \therefore $ Probability of hitting at least once $ =1-{{[1-0.3]}^{n}}=0.8 $ $ {{0.7}^{n}}=0.2 $ $ n\log 0.7=\log 0.2 $
    $ \Rightarrow n=4.512 $ for $ n=4;p<0.8 $ take n = 5 $ $ Hence 5 missiles should be fired so that there is at least 80% prob. That the target is hit.