Statistics And Probability Question 420

Question: One dice is thrown three times and the sum of the thrown numbers is 15. The probability for which number 4 appears in first throw

[MP PET 2004]

Options:

A) $ \frac{1}{18} $

B) $ \frac{1}{36} $

C) $ \frac{1}{9} $

D) $ \frac{1}{3} $

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Answer:

Correct Answer: A

Solution:

  •         We have to find the bounded probability to get sum 15 when 4 appears first. Let the event of getting sum 15 of three thrown number is A and the event of apearing 4 is B. So we have to find  $ P( \frac{A}{B} ) $ . But  $ P\,( \frac{A}{B} )=\frac{n\,(A\cap B)}{n(B)} $  When  $ n\,(A\cap B) $  and  $ n(B) $  respectively denote the number of digits in  $ A\cap B $  and B. Now  $ n(B)=36 $ , because first throw is of 4. So another two throws stop by  $ 6\times 6=36 $  types. Three dices have only two throws, which starts from 4 and give sum 15 i.e.,  (4, 5, 6) and (4, 6, 5). So,  $ n(A\cap B)=2 $ ,  $ n\text{  }(B)=36 $ ;   
    

$ \therefore $ $ P,( \frac{A}{B} )=\frac{2}{36}=\frac{1}{18} $ .