Statistics And Probability Question 43

Question: The probability of India winning a test match against Westinies is $ \frac{1}{2} $ assuming independence from match to match the probability that in a 5 match series India’s second win occurs at the third test is

Options:

A) 2/3

B) 1/2

C) 1/4

D) 1/8

Show Answer

Answer:

Correct Answer: C

Solution:

  • [c] Since, India?s second win occurs at the third test. Therefore, the sample space is $ =[LWW,WLW] $ Where, L = losing the test W = winning the test.
    $ \therefore $ P (India?s win occur at the 3rd test) $ =P(LWW)+P(WLW) $ $ =P(L)P(W)P(W)+P(W)P(L)P(W) $ ( $ \therefore $ Prob. From match to match is independent). $ =( \frac{1}{2}\times \frac{1}{2}\times \frac{1}{2} )+( \frac{1}{2}\times \frac{1}{2}\times \frac{1}{2} ) $ (Given) $ =\frac{1}{8}+\frac{1}{8}=\frac{2}{8}=\frac{1}{4} $


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