Probability Ques 134

If the probability of hitting a target by a shooter in any shot, is $\frac{1}{3}$, then the minimum number of independent shots at the target required by him so that the probability of hitting the target at least once is greater than $\frac{5}{6}$, is

(2019 Main, 10 Jan II)

(a) $6$

(b) $3$

(c) $5$

(d) $4$

Show Answer

Answer:

Correct Answer: 134.(c)

Solution:

Formula:

Binomial distribution:

  1. The probability of hitting a target at least once $=1-($ probability of not hitting the target in any trial) $=1-{ }^{n} C _0 p^{0} q^{n}$

where $n$ is the number of independent trials and $p$ and $q$ are the probability of success and failure respectively.

[by using binomial distribution]

Here, $\quad p=\frac{1}{3}$ and $\quad q=1-p=1-\frac{1}{3}=\frac{2}{3}$

According to the question, $1-{ }^{n} C _0 \quad (\frac{1}{3}){ }^{0} \quad (\frac{2}{3}){ }^{n}>\frac{5}{6}$

$\Rightarrow (\frac{2}{3})^{n}<1-\frac{5}{6} \Rightarrow (\frac{2}{3})^{n}<\frac{1}{6}$

Clearly, minimum value of $n$ is $5$ .



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