Probability Formulas

🔢 Probability Formulas – 2-Page Cheat Sheet

Basic TermFormulaMemory Trick
Probability of an Event EP(E) = (No. of favourable outcomes) / (Total possible outcomes)F/T = Favourable ÷ Total
Range of Probability0 ≤ P(E) ≤ 10 = impossible, 1 = sure shot
Complement RuleP(not E) = 1 – P(E)“1 minus what you see”
Addition Rule (OR)P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) – P(A ∩ B)“Add, then subtract the overlap”
Mutually ExclusiveP(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B)No overlap → no subtraction
Multiplication Rule (AND)P(A ∩ B) = P(A) × P(BA)
Independent EventsP(A ∩ B) = P(A) × P(B)“No influence—just multiply straight”
Conditional ProbabilityP(BA) = P(A ∩ B) / P(A)

🎯 Quick-Fire Facts
  • Impossible event → P = 0
  • Sure event → P = 1
  • Odds in favour = Favourable : Unfavourable
  • At least one = 1 – P(none)
  • Deck cards – 52 cards, 4 suits, 13 per suit, 26 red, 26 black
  • Dice – 6 faces; sum of opposite faces is always 7
  • Coin – 2 outcomes; P(H) = P(T) = ½

🧠 Mnemonics
  • “1 – None = At-least-one” → always use for “at least one hit” questions
  • “Add-Subtract-Overlap” → Addition rule reminder
  • “Multiply-if-Independent” → no condition, straight multiply

📊 Comparison Table: Independent vs. Mutually Exclusive
FeatureIndependentMutually Exclusive
P(A ∩ B)P(A)·P(B)0
P(A ∪ B)P(A)+P(B)–P(A)·P(B)P(A)+P(B)
ExampleTwo separate coinsHeads & Tails on 1 coin

⚡ Rapid-Fire MCQs
  1. A card is drawn from a 52-deck. P(face card) = ?
    a) 3/13 b) 4/13 c) 1/13 d) 12/52

  2. Two coins tossed. P(at least one head) = ?
    a) ¾ b) ½ c) ¼ d) 1

  3. P(A)=0.3, P(B)=0.4, A & B independent. P(A ∩ B)=?
    a) 0.7 b) 0.12 c) 0.58 d) 0.5

  4. Rolling a die. P(prime number) = ?
    a) ½ b) 1/3 c) 2/3 d) 4/6

  5. P(E)=0.25. P(not E)=?
    a) 0.75 b) 0.25 c) 1 d) 0

  6. Two dice rolled. P(sum=7) = ?
    a) 1/12 b) 1/6 c) 1/4 d) 5/36

  7. Event with P=0 is called?
    a) Sure b) Impossible c) Random d) Independent

  8. In a deck, P(red or king) = ?
    a) 7/13 b) 1/2 c) 15/26 d) 28/52

  9. If P(A∪B)=0.6, P(A)=0.3, P(B)=0.5, find P(A∩B).
    a) 0.2 b) 0.3 c) 0.4 d) 0.1

  10. A bag has 3 red, 2 blue. P(red) = ?
    a) 3/5 b) 2/5 c) 1/5 d) 4/5

🔍 Answers1-d, 2-a, 3-b, 4-a, 5-a, 6-b, 7-b, 8-d, 9-a, 10-a